Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
