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Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Aker Stadion
HL

Molde
3 - 3
Hoffenheim

Ellingsen (41'), Ulland Andersen (70'), D (74')
Rode Gregersen (63')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dabour (8', 28'), Baumgartner (45+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
MoldeDrawHoffenheim
44.89%25.71%29.4%
Both teams to score 53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.21%50.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32%72.68%
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83%56.17%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46%31.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06%67.94%
Score Analysis
    Molde 44.88%
    Hoffenheim 29.4%
    Draw 25.71%
MoldeDrawHoffenheim
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 7.89%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.4%

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