Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
