Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Molde had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
