SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 19 | 22 | 45 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 30 | 41 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 19 | 19 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | HamKam | 19 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Sarpsborg 08 | 19 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Jerv | 20 | -32 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 3-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
73.58% ( 0.08) | 15.23% ( -0.01) | 11.19% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.69% ( -0.18) | 29.31% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.65% ( -0.22) | 50.35% ( 0.22) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.16% ( -0.03) | 6.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.83% ( -0.07) | 25.17% ( 0.07) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% ( -0.25) | 37.83% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( -0.25) | 74.6% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 3% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.32% Total : 73.58% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.23% | 1-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 11.19% |
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