Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 73.22%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 11.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
Result | ||
Molde | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
73.22% (![]() | 15.02% (![]() | 11.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.58% (![]() | 26.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.25% (![]() | 46.75% (![]() |
Molde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.75% (![]() | 6.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.44% (![]() | 23.56% (![]() |
Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.21% (![]() | 34.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.48% (![]() | 71.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Molde | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
2-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.16% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 4.19% Total : 73.22% | 1-1 @ 6.36% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.02% | 1-2 @ 3.36% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 11.76% |
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