Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 18

Aug 12, 2022 at 6pm UK

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
1 - 4
Bodo/Glimt

Heintz (77')
Wichne (70'), Heintz (73'), Odegaard (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vetlesen (39'), Pellegrino (45', 85'), Salvesen (65')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Bodo/Glimt.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 0-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 2-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
20.25% ( 0.04)	20.76% ( 0.01)	58.98% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 59.72% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.67% (

-0.01)

37.33% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.45% (

-0.01)

59.54% (

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

0.04)

31.8% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.76% (

0.04)

68.24% (

-0.04)

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.58% (

-0.02)

12.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.68% (

-0.04)

38.31% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 20.25%

Bodo/Glimt 58.98%

Draw 20.77%

Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 20.25%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.77%	1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.57% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 4.04% Total : 58.98%