SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Odd | 16 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
| 12 | HamKam | 15 | 1 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 15 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 17 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Lillestrom |
29.74% ( -0.08) | 24.12% ( 0.01) | 46.13% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.3% ( -0.08) | 43.69% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.91% ( -0.08) | 66.08% ( 0.08) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( -0.09) | 27.69% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% ( -0.12) | 63.25% ( 0.12) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( -0) | 19.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% ( -0.01) | 50.73% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.74% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 46.13% |
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