Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 16

Jul 31, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
0 - 2
Lillestrom

Lindseth (17'), Horn (30'), Soltvedt (44'), Skalevik (45+7'), Inge Utvik (75'), Saletros (75')
Horn (45+3'), Saletros (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Andre Helland (76' pen.), Fridjonsson (84')
Christiansen (45+7'), Knudsen (77'), Matthew (89')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Lillestrom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Lillestrom
29.74% ( -0.08)	24.12% ( 0.01)	46.13% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 58.49% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.3% (

-0.08)

43.69% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.91% (

-0.08)

66.08% (

0.08)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

-0.09)

27.69% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75% (

-0.12)

63.25% (

0.12)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.89% (

-0)

19.1% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.27% (

-0.01)

50.73% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 29.74%

Lillestrom 46.13%

Draw 24.12%

Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Lillestrom
2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.74%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 46.13%