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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 21
Sep 3, 2023 at 4pm UK
Brann Stadion

Brann
1 - 0
Sarpsborg

Heltne Nilsen (69' pen.)
Borsting (4'), Finne (36'), Myhre (83'), Sery (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Skipper (42'), Lundqvist (68'), Zekhnini (76')
Skipper (67')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between SK Brann and Sarpsborg 08.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brann 3-3 AZ (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sarpsborg 4-0 Tromso
Saturday, August 26 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 70.28%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.75%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.

Result
SK BrannDrawSarpsborg 08
70.28% (2.465 2.47) 15.38% (-0.976 -0.98) 14.34% (-1.488 -1.49)
Both teams to score 68.22% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.47% (1.719 1.72)21.52% (-1.718 -1.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.76% (2.347 2.35)40.23% (-2.346 -2.35)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.38% (0.828 0.83)5.61% (-0.8271 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.21% (2.324 2.32)21.78% (-2.323 -2.32)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.383 -0.38)27.72% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (-0.498 -0.5)63.29% (0.499 0.5)
Score Analysis
    SK Brann 70.28%
    Sarpsborg 08 14.34%
    Draw 15.38%
SK BrannDrawSarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-1 @ 7.95% (0.099 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.143 0.14)
4-1 @ 5.72% (0.341 0.34)
3-2 @ 5.1% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.48% (-0.347 -0.35)
4-0 @ 4.46% (0.311 0.31)
4-2 @ 3.67% (0.181 0.18)
5-1 @ 3.3% (0.344 0.34)
5-0 @ 2.57% (0.293 0.29)
5-2 @ 2.11% (0.2 0.2)
6-1 @ 1.58% (0.233 0.23)
4-3 @ 1.57% (0.061 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.193 0.19)
6-2 @ 1.02% (0.14 0.14)
5-3 @ 0.9% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 70.28%
1-1 @ 5.75% (-0.512 -0.51)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-3 @ 2.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.56% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 15.38%
1-2 @ 3.69% (-0.372 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-1 @ 2% (-0.287 -0.29)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 14.34%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brann 3-3 AZ (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Brann
Thursday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brann 5-1 Aalesund
Sunday, August 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 3-1 Arouca
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Brann
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: HamKam 0-2 Brann
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 4-0 Tromso
Saturday, August 26 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Odd 0-3 Sarpsborg
Saturday, August 19 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-2 Stromsgodset
Saturday, August 12 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 5-1 Sarpsborg
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 2-1 Haugesund
Sunday, July 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 5-1 Sarpsborg
Saturday, July 22 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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