Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Stabaek Football win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.