SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | FK Haugesund | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Jerv | 16 | -23 | 11 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 16 | -20 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 17 | 20 | 39 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 25 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Kristiansund win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kristiansund | Draw | Molde |
16.51% ( 0.19) | 19.69% ( 0.14) | 63.8% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( -0.3) | 38.54% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( -0.32) | 60.84% ( 0.31) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.47% ( 0.04) | 36.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% ( 0.04) | 73.31% ( -0.04) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.54% ( -0.17) | 11.46% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.71% ( -0.38) | 36.28% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kristiansund | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 16.51% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.69% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.82% ( 0)0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 7.14% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 7.09% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.87% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 3.84% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.19% Total : 63.8% |
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