Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.47%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 5.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 0-4 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.57%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 2-1 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
