Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
