Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.44%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 7.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
