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Thursday, March 28
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Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Apr 22, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
FU

Ajax
1 - 1
Utrecht

Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gustafson (13' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Utrecht
57.85%20.03%22.12%
Both teams to score 65.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.91%31.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.51%52.5%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23%10.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.23%34.77%
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45%26.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.24%61.76%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 57.85%
    FC Utrecht 22.12%
    Draw 20.03%
AjaxDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 7%
1-0 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 4.64%
4-1 @ 3.9%
4-0 @ 2.94%
4-2 @ 2.58%
5-1 @ 1.74%
5-0 @ 1.31%
5-2 @ 1.15%
4-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 57.85%
1-1 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 2.86%
3-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.03%
1-2 @ 5.6%
0-1 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-2 @ 2.51%
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 22.12%

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