Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 35.63%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (12.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
