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Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 8, 2021 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
FS

AZ
1 - 0
Sittard

Gudmundsson (29' pen.)
Aboukhlal (31'), Bizot (90+3'), Midtsjo (90+5')
Leeuwin (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

van Osch (27')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
65.53%18.97%15.5%
Both teams to score 56.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85%37.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.64%59.35%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.39%10.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.59%34.41%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1%36.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31%73.69%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 65.53%
    Fortuna Sittard 15.5%
    Draw 18.97%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 9.85%
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 8.78%
3-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 7.35%
4-0 @ 4.13%
4-1 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.66%
4-2 @ 2.05%
5-0 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.85%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 65.53%
1-1 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 4.9%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.97%
1-2 @ 4.36%
0-1 @ 3.9%
0-2 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 15.5%

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