Vitesse
0 - 0
AZ

Bazoer (26')

Karlsson (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Vitesse 2-1 AZ Alkmaar

While AZ have improved of late, they are not doing enough to suggest that they can put together a consistent run in the future. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to edge a tight contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
33.25%	26.17%	40.58%

Both teams to score 53.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.69%

51.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.86%

73.14%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83%

29.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89%

65.11%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07%

24.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.44%

59.56%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 33.25%

AZ Alkmaar 40.57%

Draw 26.17%

Vitesse	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.25%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.57%