Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.46%) and 3-1 (6.41%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.