Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
