SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 26.93% | 24.83% | 48.23% |
| Both teams to score 54.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% | 48.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% | 70.67% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% | 32.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.28% | 68.72% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% | 20.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.55% | 52.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.63% Total : 26.93% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-2 @ 8.33% 1-3 @ 5.04% 0-3 @ 4.45% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.23% |
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