SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Feyenoord |
18.54% ( 0.2) | 21.14% ( 0.7) | 60.32% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( -2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.28% ( -2.92) | 41.72% ( 2.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% ( -3.01) | 64.12% ( 3.01) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.87% ( -1.51) | 36.12% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.09% ( -1.57) | 72.9% ( 1.57) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.58% ( -1.18) | 13.42% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.63% ( -2.42) | 40.36% ( 2.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.61% Total : 18.54% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.61)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.14% | 1-2 @ 9.96% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.43)0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.84)1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 6.55% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.23)1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.19)0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.24% Total : 60.32% |
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