Having scored 21 goals in their last six matches, Feyenoord can surely find the net at least once in front of their own fans; capitalising on Roma's frailties outside the Italian capital. That could see the Rotterdam side take a slim lead into next week's return leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Roma had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	Roma
60.23% ( 0.01)	21.89% ( -0)	17.87% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.53% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89% (

46.1% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59% (

68.4% (

-0)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.12% (

14.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.78% (

0.01)

43.21% (

-0.01)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.53% (

-0)

39.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.84% (

-0)

76.16% (

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 60.22%

Roma 17.87%

Draw 21.88%

Feyenoord	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 11.18% 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.22%	1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.88%	0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.87%