SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 82.23%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 6.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (2.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
82.23% ( -0.13) | 11.01% ( 0.02) | 6.76% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.35% ( 0.41) | 22.65% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.21% ( 0.56) | 41.78% ( -0.56) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.93% ( 0.05) | 4.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.93% ( 0.18) | 17.06% ( -0.18) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.37% ( 0.66) | 41.62% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.89% ( 0.57) | 78.11% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 3-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.07)6-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.05)7-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)6-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.15% Total : 82.23% | 1-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 11.01% | 1-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 6.76% |
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