SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Emmen |
52.74% ( 0.55) | 23.07% ( -0.04) | 24.19% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( -0.34) | 43.2% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( -0.34) | 65.6% ( 0.34) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( 0.07) | 16.39% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.97% ( 0.13) | 46.03% ( -0.13) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( -0.61) | 31.59% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.01% ( -0.71) | 67.99% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.74% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
