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E
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 25, 2021 at 11.15am UK
JenS Vesting
HA

Emmen
3 - 1
Heracles

de Leeuw (58' pen., 89', 90+1')
Verrips (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vloet (82' pen.)
de la Torre (36')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.

Result
EmmenDrawHeracles
43.11%24.89%32%
Both teams to score 57.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.87%46.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.57%68.43%
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57%21.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56%54.44%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1%62.91%
Score Analysis
    Emmen 43.11%
    Heracles 32%
    Draw 24.89%
EmmenDrawHeracles
1-0 @ 9.05%
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 5.88%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.6%
1-2 @ 7.58%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32%

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