Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
