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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2020 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
LL

Ajax
0 - 1
Liverpool


Promes (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tagliafico (35' og.)
Milner (38'), Alexander-Arnold (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.76%) and 2-3 (5.17%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawLiverpool
32.82%20.55%46.63%
Both teams to score 73.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.47%24.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.69%44.3%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42%16.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.63%46.37%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4%11.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41%36.58%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 32.82%
    Liverpool 46.63%
    Draw 20.55%
AjaxDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 6.69%
3-2 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 4.01%
1-0 @ 3.46%
2-0 @ 3.11%
4-2 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 7.21%
3-3 @ 3.1%
0-0 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.55%
1-2 @ 8.02%
1-3 @ 5.76%
2-3 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 4.46%
0-1 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 3.1%
2-4 @ 2.79%
0-4 @ 1.73%
3-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.34%
2-5 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 46.63%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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