SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Emmen |
60.17% ( 4.24) | 21.92% ( -0.86) | 17.91% ( -3.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( -2.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( -1.04) | 46.18% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.52% ( -0.99) | 68.48% ( 0.98) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% ( 1.05) | 14.92% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.7% ( 1.96) | 43.3% ( -1.97) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( -4.19) | 39.47% ( 4.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.84% ( -4.13) | 76.16% ( 4.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Emmen |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.87) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 1.17)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.96)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.56)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.25)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.16% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.54)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.77)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.51)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.45)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.36)Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.91% |
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