Having seen their survival hopes go up in flames last time out, Emmen will head into Sunday's clash with little to play for. Utrecht, meanwhile, will be keen to end the campaign strongly, and we are tipping the hosts to carry the day come the sound of the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
4.24) 
-0.86) 
