Waalwijk know that only a win will do, but with the last three meetings between the two sides finishing all square, we think Saturday's contest will produce a familiar result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
-0.19) 
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