Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
