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A
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Jan 10, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
P

Ajax
2 - 2
PSV

Promes (40'), Antony (65')
Klaassen (53')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zahavi (2', 21')
Zahavi (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.75%) and 3-1 (6.65%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
54.68%20.75%24.57%
Both teams to score 66.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.3%31.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.79%53.21%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.18%11.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.95%37.04%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97%25.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3%59.7%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 54.68%
    PSV Eindhoven 24.57%
    Draw 20.75%
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 6.75%
3-1 @ 6.65%
1-0 @ 6.32%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 4.61%
4-1 @ 3.55%
4-0 @ 2.57%
4-2 @ 2.46%
5-1 @ 1.52%
4-3 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 1.1%
5-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 54.68%
1-1 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 2.96%
3-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 20.75%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-1 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-2 @ 2.84%
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.04%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 24.57%

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