SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 56.09%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
56.09% ( 0.52) | 21.8% ( -0.16) | 22.11% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( 0.33) | 39.67% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( 0.34) | 62.02% ( -0.34) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% ( 0.28) | 14.04% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.4% ( 0.54) | 41.6% ( -0.54) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( -0.13) | 31.43% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.19% ( -0.15) | 67.81% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.3% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.67% Total : 22.11% |
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