SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Almere City |
41.36% ( -0.27) | 25.42% ( 0.1) | 33.22% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.66% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% ( -0.39) | 48.1% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( -0.36) | 70.26% ( 0.36) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -0.3) | 23.1% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( -0.44) | 56.95% ( 0.45) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( -0.08) | 27.62% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( -0.11) | 63.15% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Almere City |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.36% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.22% |
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