SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
25.3% ( -0.18) | 22.79% ( 0.01) | 51.91% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.18% ( -0.22) | 40.82% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.79% ( -0.23) | 63.21% ( 0.23) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( -0.25) | 29.42% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( -0.32) | 65.41% ( 0.32) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0.02) | 15.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.01% ( -0.04) | 44.99% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.3% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.91% |
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