SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
53.73% ( 0.14) | 22.22% | 24.04% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.99% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.56% ( -0.14) | 39.43% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.22% ( -0.15) | 61.78% ( 0.14) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( -0.01) | 14.71% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.09% ( -0.01) | 42.91% ( 0.01) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( -0.19) | 29.66% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( -0.23) | 65.71% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 24.04% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
