SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
47.08% ( 1.07) | 24.06% ( -0.06) | 28.86% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.13% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( -0.33) | 43.92% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( -0.32) | 66.3% ( 0.32) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( 0.31) | 18.8% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( 0.51) | 50.23% ( -0.52) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( -0.86) | 28.41% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( -1.09) | 64.16% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.86% |
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