While the stakes are marginally higher for PEC Zwolle ahead of this contest, both teams can ill-afford a defeat. With that in mind, we expect a low-scoring affair, but the visitors' greater consistency of late could help them secure a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	PEC Zwolle
40.21%	26.22%	33.56%

Both teams to score 53.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.53%

51.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72%

73.27%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.8%

25.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.07%

59.92%

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.95%

29.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.04%

64.95%

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 40.2%

PEC Zwolle 33.56%

Draw 26.22%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.2%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 9.05% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.56%