SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
49.17% ( 0.59) | 22.27% ( -0.11) | 28.56% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 64.34% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.35% ( 0.19) | 35.65% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.29% ( 0.21) | 57.71% ( -0.21) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% ( 0.27) | 14.89% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.76% ( 0.51) | 43.25% ( -0.51) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( -0.2) | 24.41% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( -0.29) | 58.84% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.17% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.56% |
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