SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
58.46% ( 1.03) | 20.89% ( 0.01) | 20.65% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( -1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.68% ( -1.51) | 37.32% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.47% ( -1.64) | 59.54% ( 1.65) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.44% ( -0.18) | 12.56% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.38% ( -0.38) | 38.62% ( 0.39) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -1.8) | 31.42% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.21% ( -2.14) | 67.8% ( 2.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.49)1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 4% Total : 58.46% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.62% Total : 20.66% |
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