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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 54.48%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.75%) and 3-1 (6.63%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
54.48% ( -1.25) | 20.82% ( 0.63) | 24.7% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 66% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.1% ( -2.47) | 31.9% ( 2.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.55% ( -2.94) | 53.45% ( 2.94) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.06% ( -1.14) | 11.94% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.69% ( -2.48) | 37.31% ( 2.48) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0.93) | 25.05% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% ( -1.3) | 59.72% ( 1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.18)1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.56)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.26)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.19)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.48% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.44)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.7% |
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