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GA
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 13, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Adelaarshorst
AA

Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 4
AZ

Brouwers (25')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Beukema (28', 85'), Pavlidis (33', 42')
Midtsjo (15')

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 AZ Alkmaar

AZ have been imperious of late and are huge favourites to emerge victorious in this one. We are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable victory and keep the juggernaut rolling. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAZ Alkmaar
28.22%23.95%47.82%
Both teams to score 58.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16%43.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78%66.22%
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18%28.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33%64.67%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52%18.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33%49.67%
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 28.22%
    AZ Alkmaar 47.82%
    Draw 23.95%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.96%
1-0 @ 6.62%
2-0 @ 4.12%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 28.22%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-1 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 7.59%
1-3 @ 5.32%
0-3 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 2.25%
0-4 @ 1.8%
2-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 47.82%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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