RKC Waalwijk
0 - 4
AZ

Nieuwpoort (60')

FT(HT: 0-3)

de Wit (8'), Pavlidis (23'), Karlsson (33' pen.), Aboukhlal (71')
Reijnders (87')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between RKC Waalwijk and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ are currently performing at the level we have come to expect and will fancy themselves to get the job done off the back of a huge win over PSV last time out. We are backing them to come out on top and ease into the last four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
28.48%	22.87%	48.64%

Both teams to score 62.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.41%

38.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.11%

60.89%

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.04%

25.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.03%

60.96%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84%

16.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.38%

45.61%

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 28.49%

AZ Alkmaar 48.64%

Draw 22.87%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.95% 1-0 @ 5.66% 2-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.49%	1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.19% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 5.71% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.85% 1-4 @ 2.6% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.75% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.61% Total : 48.64%