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HA
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Polman Stadion
AA

Heracles
3 - 2
AZ

Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
23.02%24.56%52.42%
Both teams to score 51.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31%50.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4%72.59%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26%36.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47%73.53%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69%19.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94%51.06%
Score Analysis
    Heracles 23.02%
    AZ Alkmaar 52.42%
    Draw 24.56%
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 7.1%
2-1 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 3.56%
3-1 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.61%
3-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.02%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 11.66%
1-2 @ 9.61%
0-2 @ 9.59%
1-3 @ 5.27%
0-3 @ 5.26%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 2.17%
0-4 @ 2.16%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 52.42%

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