Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
