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Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
De Adelaarshorst
E

Go Ahead Eagles
3 - 0
Excelsior

Thor Willumsson (41'), Nauber (70'), Linthorst (81')
Blomme (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goudmijn (56'), de Moes (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Having enjoyed a superb season by their usual standards so far, Go Ahead Eagles will be hopeful that they can return to winning ways against their struggling opponents on Saturday. Excelsior finally ended their losing run against fellow strugglers last time out, but they may be on the end of another narrow defeat at De Adelaarshorst. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 3-1 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawSBV Excelsior
62.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 18.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 63.28% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.86% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.45% (-0.012 -0.01)52.55% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.46% (0.0020000000000095 0)9.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.04% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.05% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)66.18% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 62.91%
    SBV Excelsior 18.25%
    Draw 18.84%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 62.91%
1-1 @ 8.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.84%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 18.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Heracles 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 PSV
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, March 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, February 11 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, March 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 5-2 Excelsior
Sunday, March 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-2 Vitesse
Sunday, February 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 4-2 Excelsior
Saturday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 FC Twente
Saturday, February 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie


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