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Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
E

Sparta
4 - 2
Excelsior

Verschueren (24'), Lauritsen (31', 75'), Brym (90+6')
Clement (51'), de Guzman (56'), Vriends (63'), van der Kust (66')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Pierie (11'), Duijvestijn (16')
Horemans (90+3'), Omorowa (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Sparta
Sunday, February 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 FC Twente
Saturday, February 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Both sides have struggled for goals of late, but we are expecting an entertaining affair nonetheless. That said, we are backing Sparta Rotterdam to carry the day come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 23.54% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.51%).

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
53.84% (0.23 0.23) 22.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.54% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)41.8% (0.218 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.22 -0.22)64.2% (0.219 0.22)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49%15.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63% (-0.30800000000001 -0.31)31.37% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26% (-0.359 -0.36)67.74% (0.358 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 53.84%
    SBV Excelsior 23.54%
    Draw 22.62%
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.25% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.84%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 23.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Sparta
Sunday, February 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, February 4 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Sparta
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, January 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-2 Sparta
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-0 Sparta
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 FC Twente
Saturday, February 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 2-1 Excelsior
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 3-0 Heerenveen
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 Groningen
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PSV 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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