SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
59.73% ( -1.25) | 21.42% ( 0.13) | 18.85% ( 1.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( 1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.51% ( 1.23) | 42.49% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.1% ( 1.22) | 64.9% ( -1.22) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% ( 0.02) | 13.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.78% ( 0.03) | 41.22% ( -0.03) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.76% ( 1.98) | 36.24% ( -1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% ( 1.96) | 73.03% ( -1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.54)2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.06% Total : 59.73% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.27)0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.85% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
