SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
54.1% ( -1.02) | 24.37% ( 0.07) | 21.53% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.56% ( 0.76) | 51.44% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.75% ( 0.65) | 73.25% ( -0.66) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( -0.11) | 18.94% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.55% ( -0.17) | 50.45% ( 0.17) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% ( 1.4) | 38.59% ( -1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.66% ( 1.3) | 75.34% ( -1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.38)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.09% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.49% Total : 21.53% |
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