SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Volendam |
52.42% ( -0.41) | 22.7% ( 0.09) | 24.89% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 59.3% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.22% ( -0.09) | 40.78% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.84% ( -0.09) | 63.16% ( 0.09) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -0.17) | 15.63% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.36% ( -0.32) | 44.64% ( 0.32) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( 0.21) | 29.72% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% ( 0.25) | 65.78% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.42% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.89% |
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