SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
39.56% ( 0.01) | 25.04% ( -0.09) | 35.41% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.48% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( 0.43) | 45.96% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( 0.41) | 68.27% ( -0.4) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.2) | 23.06% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( 0.29) | 56.89% ( -0.28) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( 0.25) | 25.29% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.94% ( 0.34) | 60.06% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.41% |
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